Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program
RSS Feed for updates to Project 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River Follow this via RSS feed. Help setting up RSS feeds?

Project Summary

Project 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Project Number:
1998-007-02
Title:
Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Summary:
The Grande Ronde Supplementation-Lostine River Spring Chinook program is a cooperative project between the NPT, ODFW, CTUIR, and USFWS. This program was initiated in 1994 as a conservation measure in response to severely declining runs of Chinook salmon in the Grande Ronde Basin. The program utilizes supplementation with conventional and captive brood production to prevent extirpation and begin rebuilding of ESA listed spring Chinook. The program is administered under two separate contracts; Lostine River Operations and Maintenance (O&M), and Lostine River Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E). O&M encompasses all operations related to fish culture and maintenance of the facilities needed for obtaining broodstock and acclimating juvenile fish prior to release. M&E encompasses all operations related to gathering and analyzing information needed to evaluate if supplementation is beneficial to Lostine River Chinook salmon . O&M operations began in 1997 and operates under ESA Section 10 Permit number 1149. M&E operations began in 1998 and operates under ESA Section 10 permit #1134.

The Lostine River Chinook program relates to many of the Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program (FWP) objectives and measures (NPPC 1994). Measure 7.2D.1, encourages incorporating effective husbandry practices and Measure 7.2D.3 includes the investigation of hatchery rearing operations and release strategies to improve survival of propagated fish. In addition, this project furthers development of FWP Measure 7.4D (Captive Brood Stocks), 7.4F (Portable Facilities for Adult Salmon Collection and Holding, and for Juvenile Salmon Acclimation), and 7.4O (Small-Scale Production Projects). The monitoring and evaluation research outlined in this proposal is consistent with FWP Measure 7.1C (baseline data collection from naturally spawning populations), Measure 7.2A.6 which stresses the need for evaluating the genetic and ecological impacts of outplanting hatchery fish on wild populations, Measure 7.4L.1, which mandates evaluation of supplementation projects to increase production. Finally, Measure 7.4D.3 encourages the study of hatchery rearing and release strategies to improve survival and adaptation of cultured fish.

The strength of these mandates is intensified by the inclusion of the Lostine River spring Chinook population as listed under the Endangered Species Act on May 22, 1992. The facilities and activities associated with this program have been authorized under ESA Section 10 and Section 7 Permits and Biological Opinions. These documents include ESA Section 10 Permit No. 973, Permit No. 1011 (ODFW 1996), Modification of Permit No. 1011, Permit No. 1149 (BIA 1998) and Permit No. 1164, FWS Section 7 Biological Opinion 501.1100,1-4-98-F4 and ESA Permit No. TE-001598-3 (bull trout), and NMFS Section 10 Biological Opinion (1998).

The Grande Ronde River subbasin historically supported large runs of wild Chinook salmon. Adult returns to the Grande Ronde in the late 1950's were estimated at more than 10,000 fish per year. Escapement levels declined to what co-managers determined was an emergency situation. The Upper Grande Ronde River, Catherine Creek and the Lostine River were historically three of the most productive spawning and rearing areas in the Grande Ronde basin. In 1958, 893 spring Chinook redds were counted in the Lostine River. In contrast, 16 redds were counted in 1994 and 11 redds in 1995. In 1994, fisheries co-managers, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW), Nez Perce Tribe (NPT), and Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation (CTUIR) implemented a supplementation program utilizing indigenous stock in the Upper Grande Ronde, Catherine Creek, and Lostine River. This project was identified by tribal, state and federal managers as one of the 15 high priority projects warranting immediate implementation. The Lostine River O&M, in coordination with ODFW, is responsible for operating supplementation facilities on the Lostine River. The supplementation facilities currently consist of a temporary weir and acclimation facility. The production goal for the Lostine River O&M program is 250,000 acclimated smolts.

Beginning in 1997, the project has operated and maintained the adult weir facility located approximately 1 km upstream from the mouth of the Lostine River. A new permanent adult weir facility was constructed in 2010 and spans the entire width of the river to ensure the fullest collection of returning steelhead, and Chinook salmon for broodstock, M&E data, and management needs. The Lostine River acclimation facility was constructed in 1998 and is located approximately 21 km upstream from the mouth. Facility design capacity is approximately 250,000 fish at 20 fish/lb with a density index of 0.28. The facility consists of a water supply intake, supply pipeline, four raceways, drain/release pipes and in-line PIT tag interrogation equipment.
Proposer:
None
Proponent Orgs:
Nez Perce Tribe (Tribe)
Starting FY:
2004
Ending FY:
2018
Stage:
Implementation - Project Status Report
Area:
Province Subbasin %
Blue Mountain Grande Ronde 100.00%
Purpose:
Artificial Production
Emphasis:
Supplementation
Focal Species:
Chinook - Snake River Fall ESU
Chinook - Snake River Spring/Summer
Chinook - Snake River Spring/Summer ESU
Lamprey, Pacific
Steelhead - Snake River DPS
Trout, Bull
Species Benefit:
Anadromous: 100.0%   Resident: 0.0%   Wildlife: 0.0%
Special:
None

Map of Lostine River drainage in Northeast Oregon and location of acclimation and release facility and adult weir and trapping facility.

Figure Name: Figure 1

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 10

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

Lostine River Acclimation Facility.

Figure Name: Figure 2

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 11

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

Transfer of spring Chinook salmon smolts to Lostine River Acclimation facility.

Figure Name: Figure 3

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 12

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

Newly constructed Lostine River weir during testing at average winter flows.

Figure Name: Figure 4

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 16

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

View of the newly constructed adult handling area at the Lostine River hydraulic weir.

Figure Name: Figure 5

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 17

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

View looking upstream into the Lostine River adult trap.

Figure Name: Figure 7

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 25

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

New facility testing during winter flow conditions at Lostine River adult weir.

Figure Name: Figure 8

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 25

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364

Lostine River adult female being spawned at Lookingglass Hatchery.

Figure Name: Figure 9

Document ID: P123130

Document: Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Salmon Supplementation Project - Lostine River Operations and Maintenance 2010 Smolt Acclimation & Adult Return Report; 1/10 - 12/10

Page Number: 26

Project: 1998-007-02

Contract: 50364


Summary of Budgets

To view all expenditures for all fiscal years, click "Project Exp. by FY"

Expense SOY Budget Working Budget Contracted Amount Modified Contract Amount Expenditures *
FY2018 (Previous) $880,818 $889,133 $889,120 $889,120 $904,614

BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) $880,818 $880,805 $880,805 $896,154
Cost Savings $8,315 $8,315 $8,315 $8,460
FY2019 (Current) $0 $2 $2 $0

BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) $0 $2 $2 $0
Cost Savings $0 $0 $0 $0
FY2020 (Next) $0 $0 $0 $0

BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) $0 $0 $0 $0
Cost Savings $0 $0 $0 $0

* Expenditures data includes accruals and are based on data through 30-Sep-2018

Decided Budget Transfers  (FY2018 - FY2020)

Acct FY Acct Type Amount Fund Budget Decision Date
FY2018 Expense $880,818 From: BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) FY18 SOY Budgets 07/17/2017
FY2018 Expense $8,315 From: Cost Savings 1998-007-02 FY18 11/07/2017

Pending Budget Decision?  No


Actual Project Cost Share

Current Fiscal Year — 2019
Cost Share Partner Total Proposed Contribution Total Confirmed Contribution
There are no project cost share contributions to show.
Previous Fiscal Years
Fiscal Year Total Contributions % of Budget
2018 (Draft)
2017 $36,754 4 %
2016 $12,175 1 %
2015 $4,400 1 %
2014 $4,440 1 %
2013 $0 0 %
2012
2011
2010
2009 $0 0 %
2008 $5,520 1 %
2007 $5,520 1 %

Contracts

The table below contains contracts with the following statuses: Active, Complete, History, Issued.
Capital Contracts:
Number Contractor Name Title Status Contracted Amount Dates
422 REL 17 SOW MWH Global, Inc. 1998-007-01 GRANDE RONDE ENDEMIC SPRING CHINOOK ACCLIMATION SITE History $0 6/15/2002 - 12/31/2002
Expense Contracts:
Number Contractor Name Title Status Contracted Amount Dates
BPA-005574 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land/TBL - GR Supp O&M Active $17,265 10/1/2006 - 9/30/2007
BPA-003720 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Active $12,675 10/1/2007 - 9/30/2008
BPA-004149 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Active $14,249 10/1/2008 - 9/30/2009
BPA-004989 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Active $13,270 10/1/2009 - 9/30/2010
BPA-005718 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Active $20,318 10/1/2010 - 9/30/2011
BPA-007231 Bonneville Power Administration Land - GR Supp O&M Active $6,948 10/1/2012 - 9/30/2013
BPA-007492 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Active $9,226 10/1/2013 - 9/30/2014
BPA-008234 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags/Land-GR Supp O&M Active $4,506 10/1/2014 - 9/30/2015
BPA-008946 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Active $4,562 10/1/2015 - 9/30/2016
BPA-009583 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Active $11,447 10/1/2016 - 9/30/2017
BPA-010030 Bonneville Power Administration PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Active $11,447 10/1/2017 - 9/30/2018
74017 REL 8 SOW Nez Perce Tribe 1998-007-02 EXP GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION/LOSTINE R.M&E Issued $474,843 1/1/2018 - 12/31/2018
74017 REL 11 SOW Nez Perce Tribe 1998-007-02 EXP GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION O&M Issued $402,830 1/1/2018 - 12/31/2018
CR-326986 SOW Nez Perce Tribe 1998-007-02 EXP GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION/LOSTINE M&E Pending $1 1/1/2019 - 12/31/2019
CR-327016 SOW Nez Perce Tribe 1998-007-02 EXP GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION/LOSTINE O&M Pending $1 1/1/2019 - 12/31/2019



Annual Progress Reports
Expected (since FY2004):51
Completed:27
On time:27
Status Reports
Completed:106
On time:88
Avg Days Early:3

Earliest Subsequent           Accepted Count of Contract Deliverables
Contract Contract(s) Title Contractor Start End Status Reports Complete Green Yellow Red Total % Green and Complete Canceled
4219 25587, 30437, 35952, 39434, 44925, 50336, 55021, 60107, 63319, 67626, 71214, 74668, 74017 REL 8 1998-7-2 M & E, GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION Nez Perce Tribe 01/2000 01/2000 Pending 53 175 19 0 34 228 85.09% 1
4277 25641, 30616, 35994, 39461, 44924, 50364, 55113, 60108, 63320, 67520, 71215, 74548, 74017 REL 11 1998-007-02 GRANDE RONDE SUPPLEMENTATION - O&M Nez Perce Tribe 01/2000 01/2000 Pending 53 174 7 0 14 195 92.82% 4
BPA-005574 PIT Tags/Land/TBL - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2006 10/2006 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-003720 PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2007 10/2007 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-004149 PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2008 10/2008 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-004989 PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2009 10/2009 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-005718 PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2010 10/2010 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-007231 Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2012 10/2012 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-007492 PIT Tags/Land - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2013 10/2013 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-008234 PIT Tags/Land-GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2014 10/2014 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-008946 PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2015 10/2015 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-009583 PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2016 10/2016 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BPA-010030 PIT Tags - GR Supp O&M Bonneville Power Administration 10/2017 10/2017 Active 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Project Totals 106 349 26 0 48 423 88.65% 5


The table content is updated frequently and thus contains more recent information than what was in the original proposal reviewed by ISRP and Council.

Review: Fast Track ISRP Review 2010

Independent Scientific Review Panel Assessment

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-ISRP-20100623
Project: 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Review: Fast Track ISRP Review 2010
Completed Date: 10/14/2013
Final Round ISRP Date: 4/15/2010
Final Round ISRP Rating: Meets Scientific Review Criteria (Qualified)
Final Round ISRP Comment:

General Comments
For the most part, the proponents have adequately addressed the ISRP's comments, providing comprehensive responses to some of them, most notably the discussion of “results.” The response was well organized and clearly presented. The proponents continue to take ISRP comments in a productive spirit to make their proposed work more transparent and subject to productive evaluation. We commend the proponents for also clearly identifying how and where the narrative was revised.

Comments on Responses to Specific ISRP Questions
1. “Clearly identify additions to this proposal from the basinwide RME strategy” - This ISRP comment was adequately addressed. The proponents identified and discussed two major additions to the project from the basinwide RME strategy. One of the additions, extended operation of the weir, is crucial for estimating hatchery and natural adult fish abundance and managing outplanting of hatchery fish above the weir. The other was an evaluation of details of the captive brood program.

2. “Provide in the proposal the goals and objectives for hatchery and natural production in the Lostine River that are components of the NEOH Master Plan. How do the objectives relate to AHA and the HSRG recommendations?” - Objectives for hatchery and natural production in the Lostine River that are components of the NEOH Master Plan are now more clearly identified (Table 1). The proponents evaluated HSRG recommendations based on AHA for the Wallowa/Lostine and concluded that NEOH goals for the Wallowa/Lostine, TRT abundance recommendations, and obligations of the LSRCP were inconsistent with the suggested goals of the HSRG. Thus, the proponents have not adopted those goals. They are, however, using AHA as a complementary tool to assess various management scenarios. This approach appears reasonable and the proponents are wisely keeping in mind the assumptions and limitations of AHA identified in RIST.

The proponents propose to "Manage population [presumably Wallowa/Lostine] for ... (PNI) of 0.67." and "Manage Lostine population for PNI of 0.5". These estimates need to be reconciled. Specifically, is the 0.67 level attainable if the PNI for Lostine only reaches 0.5?

3. “Present the results for each year of operation for each goal and objective related to natural and hatchery production, perhaps patterned after the NPT presentation at the supplementation workshop/symposium held in Orofino, ID. These results can be reported in a couple of pages with a table. We are not expecting and exhaustive report, but a manageable additions.” - Reporting of results was improved considerably over the original proposal. They were more detailed and included a betterdescription of life history performance results and assessments of how well the project has met its goals to date. Management assumptions (Table 5), which in effect are objectives, could be more closely associated with defined project objectives (Table 4). How do the two relate? Can management assumptions be considered sub-objectives?

4. “Provide a self-assessment of meeting the goals. In particular, the proponents should rigorously evaluate and present convincing evidence that natural production could consistently meet or exceed escapement goals and in what time frame.” - The proponents provided a reasonable self-assessment of how well established project goals have been met. Some short-term goals have been met and other midor longer-term goals either have not yet been met or data is insufficient to determine whether they have been met. The proponents still did not define time frames for short, mid-, and long-term goals. Nor did they present evidence or a reasonable discussion of whether natural production could consistently meet or exceed escapement goals and in what time frame. This is admittedly difficult to assess, but it appears from the data presented that at this point in time, due to variability in population parameters, the likelihood that long-term goals can be met is unknown. The proponents definitely should provide time estimates for short, mid- and long-term goals. Otherwise they have little meaning and could be interpreted (or misinterpreted) in multiple ways.

It is worth pointing out that the fish production that this project is evaluating is conducted under the Lower Snake River Compensation Plan (LSRCP) and negotiated in the US. v. Oregon production and harvest. The LSRCP anticipates a step-wise review of spring Chinook in December 2010, and steelhead and fall Chinook in 2011 and 2012, respectively. The sufficiency of the data collection and further evaluation of whether the overall effort is achieving the objectives of the subbasin plan and LSRCP will take place in that review. This project supports the NEOH monitoring design previously reviewed and supported by the ISRP. After the NEOH monitoring was designed the ISRP and ISAB further elaborated on monitoring supplementation projects, and the Ad Hoc Supplementation Workgroup has produced recommendations for standard monitoring of supplementation.

The proposal states that monitoring in the Lostine, using the NEOH design, is consistent withrecommendations for monitoring supplementation. However, in the data and monitoring designinformation presented in the proposal, there was an absence of discussion of whether abundance ofnatural-origin adults in the supplemented streams was contrasted to reference streams. The 2007 LSRCPannual report states that evaluation of spring Chinook supplementation in the Grande Ronde was unableto demonstrate a benefit to natural-origin adults. This is a critical evaluation that needs to take place inthe Lostine. Figure 16 shows a trend line for annual redd abundance in the Lostine in contrast to theMinam. This contrast appears to be total redds. The appropriate contrast needs to account for reddsproduced from hatchery and natural spawners.

5. “Clearly identify the BiOp VSP parameters that are to be determined by this project and how precision will be established for the methods to be employed to estimate the parameters.” - VSP parameters were identified. The proponents, however, did not adequately discuss how precision of the methods for evaluating VSP parameters will be established, but instead referred to other documents. Assuming this documents adequately address the precision issue a brief summary or synthesis would complement the response.

Qualification #1 - Measure abundance
The project evaluation needs to include an explicit measure of whether supplementation is leading to an increase in abundance of natural-origin female spawners.
First Round ISRP Date: 2/24/2010
First Round ISRP Rating: Meets Scientific Review Criteria - In Part
First Round ISRP Comment:

The project is important to efforts aimed at conserving/restoring spring Chinook salmon. It provides an opportunity to assess and evaluate how well artificial production succeeds/contributes to restoring a previously depressed local population. If successful, the population could be an important mid-basin component of the ESU. The project provides an M&E program that could be of both short term (prevent extirpation) and long-term (meet escapement goals for natural production) benefit to anadromous fishes in the Lostine basin.

The fast track portion to upgrade and operate the weir is justified. However, the remainder of the project needs a response in the form of a revised narrative. In the response the proponents should:

1. Clearly identify additions to this proposal from the basinwide RME strategy

2. Provide in the proposal the goals and objectives for hatchery and natural production in the Lostine River that are components of the NEOH Master Plan. How do the objectives relate to AHA and the HSRG recommendations?

3. Present the results for each year of operation for each goal and objective related to natural and hatchery production, perhaps patterned after the NPT presentation at the supplementation workshop/symposium held in Orofino, ID. These results can be reported in a couple of pages with a table. We are not expecting an exhaustive report, but a manageable addition.

4. Provide a self assessment of meeting the goals. In particular, the proponents should rigorously evaluate and present convincing evidence that natural production could consistently meet or exceed escapement goals and in what time frame.

5. Clearly identify the BiOp VSP parameters that are to be determined by this project and how precision will be established for the methods to be employed to estimate the parameters.

1. Technical Justification, Program Significance and Consistency, and Project Relationships

Lostine River spring Chinook have declined significantly in recent decades and now are a component of the Snake River spring/summer Chinook ESU listed as Threatened in 1992. This project is directed at preventing extirpation and increasing abundance of Chinook salmon in the Lostine through supplementation and is deemed by NOAA-Fisheries to be important for recovery of Snake River and Grande Ronde River Chinook salmon. The project also proposes to monitor status and trends of steelhead and bull trout populations in the Lostine basin. Apparently, little information on steelhead abundance and productivity is available for the Lostine River. Specifically, the program is to operate an adult trapping weir, support juvenile rearing at Lookingglass Hatchery and a smolt acclimation and volitional release program on the Lostine.

The Grande Ronde Supplementation project (including Lostine O&M and M&E components) is an ongoing project that has been reviewed previously by the ISRP. The projects have received favorable reviews by the ISRP largely because they effectively integrate scientific monitoring directly into program designs. Recent "Qualifications" of the Grand Ronde project stated in the previous ISRP review are of particular relevance for the review of this proposal. These qualifications include: 1) need for enhanced (adequate) presentation of analyzed data and results (especially for adult return rates), 2) the need for the M&E portion of the project (project # 200713200) to be funded to justify the O&M portion, and 3) enhanced decision criteria that complement program assumptions in order to fully consider various potential management alternatives.

The proponents point out that the Lostine project is a component of the Northeast Oregon Hatchery program, established through US v. Oregon and the Lower Snake River Compensation Plan. NEOH has undergone an ISRP Three-Step Review under the Fish and Wildlife Program. As well as a component of NEOH, the project is related to many other ongoing projects in the Snake Basin. Because so many of the projects are closely related, a better approach than reviewing projects individually might be to review the whole set of interrelated projects.

The technical justification for the project could be improved. The problem description should have summarized the abundance of natural and hatchery fish in the watershed before the program began as well as trends to the present. The background section should clearly identify the new elements in the proposal that put it in the fast track portfolio. The proposal identifies BiOp RPAs and other action agency documents that recommend implementation of an M&E program and expect the project, at a minimum, to reduce the risk of extirpation of the extant natural Chinook population. Although the proposal provides some data that documents the depressed status of Chinook salmon in the Lostine River basin, it should present more comprehensively the data and analyses that support this conclusion.

2. Project History and Results

The description of Project History is adequate. The project has been ongoing since 1994 and funded by BPA since 1998. To date, the project has been successful in achieving some of its objectives (Table 3 in proposal). The proponents state that NOAA-Fisheries concluded that the project prevented extirpation of the Lostine spring Chinook stock. It has met the short-term goal of maintaining escapement of combined hatchery and naturally spawning Chinook at above 250 fish. It has also enabled harvest by a tribal fishery. Its success at achieving the mid-term objective of maintaining an escapement of 500 naturally produced fish is less certain. This level of escapement appears to have been achieved, but only marginally, in five of eight of the most recent years (2001-2009). There is no clear trend of a sustained increase in escapement toward the long-term goal of 1716 naturally spawning adult Chinook, although positive trends toward the long-term escapement objective may require a longer time to manifest. It would be helpful if the proponents provided the time frame since inception of the project for achieving short-, mid-, and long-term goals.

Given the above uncertainty, is it likely that the project is only going to be able to prevent extirpation through continued supplementation or is recovery of an unsupplemented naturally spawning population a real possibility? A useful exercise might be to determine whether the population would remain viable if current escapement trends (marginally meeting or below the goal) continue. The proponents should also seriously consider terminating planting of hatchery adults above the weir to determine if natural production can be sustained without augmentation or, alternatively, provide justification for continued augmentation.

Presentation of results of the project should be improved. A primary "Qualification" of past ISRP reviews has been the evaluation of the program's success by robust data analysis and reporting of results (relative to biological objectives, work elements, and hypotheses). The current proposal gives a first level of these required/qualified analyses in that return rates, harvest rates, escapement, etc. are provided. However, the ISRP remains interested in deeper analyses that demonstrate how well the program is meeting its goals and expectations. Therefore, this remains a qualification. The project also should clearly state the objectives and goals as established in the NEOH Master Plan and the FY07 project proposal. It was sometimes difficult to distinguish NEOH M&E goals and objectives from the objectives of this proposal as, apparently, they overlap. Clarification of this distinction and relationship would be helpful.

Last January the ISRP attended a supplementation workshop/symposium held in Orofino, ID, sponsored by the NPT. In the symposium the presenters laid out the goals and objectives for fish culture (broodstock collection, spawning, egg hatch, etc) and post release goals. They then compared each of their projects to the program goals. The symposium included the Lostine project. The type of summary presented at that symposium needs to be included in the results section of this proposal. The ISRP also suggests looking at the presentation of results by the Warm Springs Tribe for Hood River steelhead and Chinook in their draft revised Master Plan. The presentation need not be ponderous, but it should be thorough.

3. Objectives, Work Elements, and Methods

The objectives, work elements, and methods have largely remained unchanged. This is appropriate at this point to avoid complicating the design until a thorough evaluation and robust analysis of the data are performed to warrant adapting the program.

The proposal would be strengthened considerably by a more comprehensive presentation of methods, particularly those related to collection of data on life history performances. More specifics are needed on how the proponents are going to achieve the data precision standards that are called for in the Comprehensive M&E strategy.

The proponents have made an effort to quantify out-of-basin effects on adult returns to the Lostine. They are currently developing a model that will incorporate ocean conditions. To help determine the impact of out-of-basin factors and assess efficacy of supplementation in the Lostine basin, the proponents should consider comparing patterns and trends in abundance of the Lostine stock to reference streams such as the John Day which has been little influenced by hatchery introductions compared to other Columbia Basin rivers.

An element of the objectives focuses on extended weir operation for steelhead. Although it is a minor element (opportunistic because the weir is already operated and maintained), it will provide tangible and logical support for the proponent's objective of monitoring adult steelhead returns.

4. M&E

The program has a strong M&E component built into the O&M part of the project. The objectives for this project tie directly into broader GRESCSP and NEOH program objectives, as well. The M&E components of the proposal are critical to evaluating the Lostine portion of the Grande Ronde Chinook Supplementation program. The details regarding assurance that the methods will achieve BiOp RPAs and basinwide M&E for VSP parameters could be improved. To date, the project has been successful in achieving some of its short- and mid-term objectives, which is encouraging. Nevertheless, continued monitoring is necessary, especially to assess adult returns of naturally spawning Chinook. The results of the supplementation effort in regard to natural Chinook production are mixed. In some years returns of natural spawners have marginally met the established escapement goal. In other years it has been well below the goal. Escapement is variable, as would be expected, but the concern is that even the best adult returns appear to have barely exceeded the escapement goal and no sustained increase in escapement is evident.

Modified by Dal Marsters on 10/14/2013 10:26:47 AM.
Documentation Links:
Review: RME / AP Category Review

2008 FCRPS BiOp Workgroup Assessment

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-BIOP-20101105
Project Number: 1998-007-02
Review: RME / AP Category Review
Proposal Number: RMECAT-1998-007-02
Completed Date: None
2008 FCRPS BiOp Workgroup Rating: Supports 2008 FCRPS BiOp
Comments: BiOp Workgroup Comments: No BiOp Workgroup comments

The BiOp RM&E Workgroups made the following determinations regarding the proposal's ability or need to support BiOp Research, Monitoring and Evaluation (RME) RPAs. If you have questions regarding these RPA association conclusions, please contact your BPA COTR and they will help clarify, or they will arrange further discussion with the appropriate RM&E Workgroup Leads. BiOp RPA associations for the proposed work are: ( 62.5 63.1 64.1 64.2)
All Questionable RPA Associations ( ) and
All Deleted RPA Associations (50.6 50.7 )
Proponent Response:

Council Recommendation

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-NPCC-20101220
Project: 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Review: RME / AP Category Review
Proposal: RMECAT-1998-007-02
Proposal State: Pending BPA Response
Approved Date: 6/10/2011
Recommendation: Fund (Qualified)
Comments: Implement per April-May 2010 Council decision documents for Fast Track projects through 2016 with condition: Implementation subject to Lower Snake Comp Review process and the hatchery effects evaluation process described in programmatic recommendation #4.
Conditions:
Council Condition #1 Programmatic Issue: RMECAT #4 Hatchery Effectiveness—subject to regional hatchery effects evaluation process
Council Condition #2 As per the April-May fast track decisions - The Council recommends this project for implementation. The qualification regarding measuring of natural-origin spawners needs to be addressed and confirmed in a regional approach to ensure adequacy of the current monitoring in the Grande Ronde subbasin
Review: FY07-09 Solicitation Review

Legal Assessment (In-Lieu)

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-INLIEU-20090521
Project Number: 1998-007-02
Review: FY07-09 Solicitation Review
Completed Date: 10/6/2006
In Lieu Rating: No Problems Exist
Cost Share Rating: None
Comment: Lostine River adult acclimation facility.

Capital Assessment

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-CAPITAL-20090618
Project Number: 1998-007-02
Review: FY07-09 Solicitation Review
Completed Date: 2/27/2007
Capital Rating: Does Not Qualify for Capital Funding
Capital Asset Category: None
Comment: None

Independent Scientific Review Panel Assessment

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-ISRP-20060831
Project: 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Review: FY07-09 Solicitation Review
Completed Date: 8/31/2006
Final Round ISRP Date: None
Final Round ISRP Rating: Meets Scientific Review Criteria (Qualified)
Final Round ISRP Comment:
See ISRP comments on the set of NEOH projects under proposal 198805301.

This project conducts supplementation of Lostine River spring Chinook salmon toward avoiding extinction of this much-reduced stock and, in the longer term, achieving its recovery. It is one of several projects that compose the Grande Ronde Endemic Spring Chinook Supplementation Program (GRESCSP). This project operates a smolt acclimation facility and an adult trapping station on the Lostine River tributary of the Grand Ronde River. Adults are spawned at the station; the fertilized eggs are then transferred to hatcheries elsewhere for raising until the young are brought back to the Lostine smolt acclimation site. The project monitors and evaluates the results in terms of population abundance and life history performance. There will be side benefits to other species such as steelhead via monitoring at weirs.

The proposal makes a strong case for continuation and funding as part of the GRESCSP. The authors are to be complimented on a clear, well-organized presentation that is thorough in most details. The project's biological objects are truly stated as biological objectives. Much of this proposal could serve as an example for other projects' proposals.

Project history and summary results to date are well presented, but future proposals for this project need to show more results in terms of return rates. There is no evidence so far that benefit from supplementation is occurring. The proposal gives well-warranted recognition that long-term prospects for the population depend on the remediation of habitat problems by related projects in the watershed.

Biological objectives are described with well-articulated and designed hypotheses to permit robust adaptive management. It would be logical to add an objective of terminating the project when M&E determines either that it is not working or that the target population recovers. A response was needed describing such a decision tree.

The sponsors responded well to most of the few questions that the ISRP had relating to this strong proposal. They reiterated the nature of the hypotheses and biological metrics.

The Fundable (Qualified) recommendation is for two reasons:

(1) Scientific justification for the project depends on the funding of the M&E proposal 200713200.

(2) In its initial review, the ISRP requested a decision tree, which would describe a path of adaptive management. For each of the project's eight management objectives, the sponsors responded with a list of hypotheses or criteria, which they term "management assumptions." They regard the resultant outline a "decision framework" for guiding the decision process of NEOH adaptive management. The array is based on the NEOH M&E Conceptual Plan (Hesse and Harbeck 2000). In addition to this framework of assumptions, a decision tree would require statements of reasonably foreseeable alternative adjustments of management (scenarios, including project termination) that would depend on whether the assumptions are borne out. (See the decision tree provided under proposal 199800704.)
Documentation Links:

Council Recommendation

Assessment Number: 1998-007-02-NPCC-20090924
Project: 1998-007-02 - Grande Ronde Supplementation Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) on Lostine River
Review: FY07-09 Solicitation Review
Approved Date: 10/23/2006
Recommendation: Fund
Comments: See discussion of Programmatc Issue: supplementation m&e. The NEOH Lostine component will not be complete by 2008. Thus, this budget would increase from proposed in 2008 because of lack of hatchery completion and this project accommodating both O&M and M&E.

Project Relationships: None

Name Role Organization
Rick Zollman Project Lead Nez Perce Tribe
Bruce McLeod Interested Party Nez Perce Tribe
Rebecca Johnson Interested Party Nez Perce Tribe
Jay Hesse Supervisor Nez Perce Tribe
Tish Whitman Interested Party Nez Perce Tribe
James Harbeck Technical Contact Nez Perce Tribe
Katey Grange Interested Party Bonneville Power Administration
William Young Technical Contact Nez Perce Tribe
Shane Vatland Project Lead Nez Perce Tribe
Maureen Kavanagh Project Manager Bonneville Power Administration
Claire McClory Env. Compliance Lead Bonneville Power Administration